Prediction: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli
Team pages: Francisco Comesana · Flavio Cobolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Comesana
Flavio Cobolli
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 36.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Comesana
5-5 (W-L)
Flavio Cobolli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Comesana
0–1
Flavio Cobolli
(1 last)
- 06 Apr1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1458 · Flavio Cobolli 1552
| Francisco Comesana | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flavio Cobolli (rating 1458 vs 1552).
- Francisco Comesana dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Comesana 0–1 Flavio Cobolli (1).
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.6 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-15.5 | 14.5-14.8 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -10.5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Francisco Comesana 0 – 1 Flavio Cobolli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Comesana 0–1 Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-31 | L |
| 28/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 15/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 72% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.