Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo

Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Filip Misolic Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 28.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Misolic 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLLL
Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Filip Misolic 0–2 Francisco Cerundolo (2 last)
  • 30 May0-3 8-19L
  • 24 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Filip Misolic 1425 · Francisco Cerundolo 1478
Filip MisolicFrancisco Cerundolo
Our model42%58%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Cerundolo (rating 1425 vs 1478).
  • Francisco Cerundolo is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Filip Misolic 0–2 Francisco Cerundolo (2).

Statistics

Filip MisolicFrancisco Cerundolo
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.3-1.6
Games (G-P)10-13.313.8-14.6
Aces4.45.6
Double faults2.93
1st serve %68.6%70%
Break %26.6%32.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 24 · Bet365 line 28.5 · -4.5
Over 28.5: 22% · 1.80 Under 28.5: 78% · 1.90

H2H · Filip Misolic 02 Francisco Cerundolo (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Filip Misolic 02 Francisco Cerundolo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
30/05/24
French Open
0-38-19L
24/10/22
ATP Vienna
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Filip Misolic

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/01 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Manama · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
19/01 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open · Hard
0-3 8-18 L
12/01 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Adelaide · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/01 Daniel Jovanovski
ATP Adelaide · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/01 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Brisbane · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/11 Flavio Cobolli
Davis Cup
0-2 4-12 L
01/11 Alex Molcan
ATP Athens · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
28/10 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 16-14 L
22/10 Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
21/10 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Vienna · Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Francisco Cerundolo

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Nuno Borges
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/08 Alex Michelsen
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
31/07 Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
30/06 Jaume Munar
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 8-18 L
21/06 Tommy Paul
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 18-14 W
20/06 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 18-14 W
19/06 Arthur Fery
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 16-16 W
17/06 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Queens · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 18-13 W
30/05 Zachary Svajda
French Open · Clay
2-3 22-25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Our model gives 76% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.