Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Benjamin Bonzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 35.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
7-3 (W-L)
Benjamin Bonzi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1543 · Benjamin Bonzi 1553
| Alex Molcan | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Benjamin Bonzi makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.2 | 13.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 35.5 · -11
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Justin Boulais Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi?
Our model gives 63% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.