Prediction: Jan Choinski vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Jan Choinski · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Choinski
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Choinski
5-5 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan Choinski
1–2
Botic Van De Zandschulp
(3 last)
- 08 Jul0-2 1-12L
- 17 Jul0-2 7-13L
- 26 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Choinski 1531 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1546
| Jan Choinski | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Choinski dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 43% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jan Choinski 1–2 Botic Van De Zandschulp (3).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jan Choinski | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.2 | 11.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 43% | 64.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -14.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Jan Choinski 1 – 2 Botic Van De Zandschulp (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Choinski 1–2 Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/25 Challenger Braunschweig | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/07/18 Challenger Scheveningen | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/01/18 ITF Germany F2 | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Choinski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 02/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Choinski vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 65% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.