Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
7-3 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fabian Marozsan
0–1
Michael Zheng
(1 last)
- 14 Aug1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1538 · Michael Zheng 1536
| Fabian Marozsan | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Fabian Marozsan dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Fabian Marozsan 0–1 Michael Zheng (1).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.6 | 12.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -14
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Fabian Marozsan 0 – 1 Michael Zheng (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fabian Marozsan 0–1 Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 51% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.