Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
Team pages: Arthur Fery · Lorenzo Musetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fery
Lorenzo Musetti
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Musetti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1568 · Lorenzo Musetti 1545
| Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.9-15.7 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -13.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-29 | W |
| 02/07 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 30/06 | Damir Dzumhur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
Lorenzo Musetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Our model gives 64% to Lorenzo Musetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.