Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Darja Vidmanova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Team pages: Darja Vidmanova · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Vidmanova
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Vidmanova
10-0 (W-L)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Vidmanova 1589 · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 1482
| Darja Vidmanova | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1589 vs 1482).
- Darja Vidmanova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Darja Vidmanova | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.4 | 11.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Caroline Werner WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Vidmanova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Our model gives 58% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.