Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Ella Seidel
Team pages: Yulia Starodubtsewa · Ella Seidel
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Ella Seidel
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Starodubtsewa
4-6 (W-L)
Ella Seidel
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yulia Starodubtsewa
1–0
Ella Seidel
(1 last)
- 26 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1482 · Ella Seidel 1442
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yulia Starodubtsewa (rating 1482 vs 1442).
- Head-to-head: Yulia Starodubtsewa 1–0 Ella Seidel (1).
- Note: Ella Seidel makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.9 | 7.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80
H2H · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1 – 0 Ella Seidel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1–0 Ella Seidel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/24 ITF W100 Oeiras | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Starodubtsewa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Snigur WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Maya Joint WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ella Seidel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Capucine Jauffret WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalma Galfi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Ella Seidel?
Our model gives 60% to Yulia Starodubtsewa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.