Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Elisabetta Cocciaretto · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
4-6 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
1–2
Katerina Siniakova
(3 last)
- 26 Jun0-2 7-12L
- 25 Feb1-2 8-17L
- 14 Jul2-1 18-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1483 · Katerina Siniakova 1503
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1–2 Katerina Siniakova (3).
- Note: Elisabetta Cocciaretto makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.7 | 10.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1 – 2 Katerina Siniakova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1–2 Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/23 WTA Bad Homburg | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/02/23 WTA Merida | 1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 14/07/22 WTA Budapest | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Sinja Kraus WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Alycia Parks WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Yue Yuan WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Victoria Mboko French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 59% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.