Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Yulia Putintseva · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Putintseva
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yulia Putintseva
1–3
Belinda Bencic
(4 last)
- 29 Dec0-2 9-13L
- 26 Feb0-2 7-12L
- 22 Mar2-0 13-8W
- 16 Jan1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Putintseva 1492 · Belinda Bencic 1600
| Yulia Putintseva | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belinda Bencic (rating 1492 vs 1600).
- Belinda Bencic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yulia Putintseva 1–3 Belinda Bencic (4).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Yulia Putintseva | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 13.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.8
Over 20.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 37% · 1.83
H2H · Yulia Putintseva 1 – 3 Belinda Bencic (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yulia Putintseva 1–3 Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/22 United Cup Women | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/02/20 WTA Doha | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/03/19 WTA Miami | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/01/19 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Maya Joint WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 73% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.