Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Nadia Podoroska vs Simona Waltert
Team pages: Nadia Podoroska · Simona Waltert
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Podoroska
Simona Waltert
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Podoroska
7-3 (W-L)
Simona Waltert
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nadia Podoroska
1–0
Simona Waltert
(1 last)
- 08 Oct2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Podoroska 1500 · Simona Waltert 1501
| Nadia Podoroska | Simona Waltert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nadia Podoroska 1–0 Simona Waltert (1).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Nadia Podoroska | Simona Waltert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.8 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 64% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Nadia Podoroska 1 – 0 Simona Waltert (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nadia Podoroska 1–0 Simona Waltert
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/19 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Simona Waltert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Petra Marcinko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Podoroska vs Simona Waltert?
Our model gives 57% to Simona Waltert, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.