Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Magdalena Frech
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Magdalena Frech
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
7-3 (W-L)
Magdalena Frech
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1521 · Magdalena Frech 1509
| Iva Jovic | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 10.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ann Li WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech?
Our model gives 64% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.