Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mayar Sherif
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Mayar Sherif
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Mayar Sherif
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
4-6 (W-L)
Mayar Sherif
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1542 · Mayar Sherif 1621
| Nikola Bartunkova | Mayar Sherif | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1542 vs 1621).
- Mayar Sherif is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Mayar Sherif | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.1 | 14-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4.8
Over 18.5: 80% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 20% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Mayar Sherif
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Mayar Sherif?
Our model gives 66% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.