Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen
Team pages: Mirra Andreeva · Janice Tjen
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirra Andreeva
Janice Tjen
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mirra Andreeva
8-2 (W-L)
Janice Tjen
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mirra Andreeva
1–0
Janice Tjen
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirra Andreeva 1535 · Janice Tjen 1477
| Mirra Andreeva | Janice Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1535 vs 1477).
- Head-to-head: Mirra Andreeva 1–0 Janice Tjen (1).
- Note: Janice Tjen makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mirra Andreeva | Janice Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.5 | 12.6-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 60% · 2.00
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.72
H2H · Mirra Andreeva 1 – 0 Janice Tjen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirra Andreeva 1–0 Janice Tjen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 WTA Cincinnati | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Magda Linette Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Janice Tjen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Daria Kasatkina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen?
Our model gives 73% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.