Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Karolina Muchova
Team pages: Sinja Kraus · Karolina Muchova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sinja Kraus
Karolina Muchova
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sinja Kraus
6-4 (W-L)
Karolina Muchova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1520 · Karolina Muchova 1634
| Sinja Kraus | Karolina Muchova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karolina Muchova (rating 1520 vs 1634).
Statistics
| Sinja Kraus | Karolina Muchova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.7 | 13.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4.3
Over 18.5: 78% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 22% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Eva Bennemann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Karolina Muchova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Zakharova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Karolina Muchova?
Our model gives 78% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.