Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Kalinskaya
Team pages: Anna Blinkova · Anna Kalinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Blinkova
Anna Kalinskaya
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Blinkova
4-6 (W-L)
Anna Kalinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anna Blinkova
0–1
Anna Kalinskaya
(1 last)
- 08 Mar0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Blinkova 1490 · Anna Kalinskaya 1552
| Anna Blinkova | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kalinskaya (rating 1490 vs 1552).
- Head-to-head: Anna Blinkova 0–1 Anna Kalinskaya (1).
- Note: Anna Blinkova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Anna Blinkova | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.3 | 12.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 46% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.9
Over 21.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 37% · 1.83
H2H · Anna Blinkova 0 – 1 Anna Kalinskaya (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anna Blinkova 0–1 Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/18 ITF Women Zhuhai | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Blinkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dominika Salkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Heather Watson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Caty McNally WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Blinkova vs Anna Kalinskaya?
Our model gives 67% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.