Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Xinyu Wang
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Xinyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Xinyu Wang
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
3-7 (W-L)
Xinyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emiliana Arango
0–2
Xinyu Wang
(2 last)
- 09 Feb0-2 6-13L
- 08 Aug0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1471 · Xinyu Wang 1513
| Emiliana Arango | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinyu Wang (rating 1471 vs 1513).
- Head-to-head: Emiliana Arango 0–2 Xinyu Wang (2).
- Note: Xinyu Wang makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.6 | 10.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.80
H2H · Emiliana Arango 0 – 2 Xinyu Wang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emiliana Arango 0–2 Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 WTA Doha | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/08/25 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Xinyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Xinyu Wang?
Our model gives 63% to Xinyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.