Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Maya Joint vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Maya Joint · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
5-5 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maya Joint
0–2
Ludmilla Samsonova
(2 last)
- 07 Aug1-2 14-19L
- 01 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1510 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1547
| Maya Joint | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maya Joint 0–2 Ludmilla Samsonova (2).
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.5 | 14-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.80
H2H · Maya Joint 0 – 2 Ludmilla Samsonova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maya Joint 0–2 Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 WTA Toronto | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/07/25 Wimbledon Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Ana Grubor WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 63% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.