Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Julia Grabher vs Sorana Cirstea
Team pages: Julia Grabher · Sorana Cirstea
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Grabher
Sorana Cirstea
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Grabher
8-2 (W-L)
Sorana Cirstea
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julia Grabher
0–1
Sorana Cirstea
(1 last)
- 22 Apr0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Grabher 1536 · Sorana Cirstea 1518
| Julia Grabher | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Julia Grabher 0–1 Sorana Cirstea (1).
Statistics
| Julia Grabher | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.3 | 11.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.8
Over 18.5: 69% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 31% · 1.72
H2H · Julia Grabher 0 – 1 Sorana Cirstea (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Grabher 0–1 Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/22 WTA Istanbul | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 11/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Vivian Wolff W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Ekaterina Perelygina W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Grabher vs Sorana Cirstea?
Our model gives 70% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.