Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Panna Udvardy
Team pages: Mananchaya Sawangkaew · Panna Udvardy
Prediction summary
Winner
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Panna Udvardy
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
8-2 (W-L)
Panna Udvardy
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1554 · Panna Udvardy 1471
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Panna Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mananchaya Sawangkaew (rating 1554 vs 1471).
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Panna Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 10.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 63% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Emerson Jones WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/07 | En Shuo Liang WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Panna Udvardy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Maya Joint WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Panna Udvardy?
Our model gives 64% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.