Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Linda Noskova

Team pages: Katie Volynets · Linda Noskova

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Katie Volynets Linda Noskova
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Volynets 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWWW
Linda Noskova 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1564 · Linda Noskova 1556
Katie VolynetsLinda Noskova
Our model51%49%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Katie VolynetsLinda Noskova
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.4-9.412.3-10.3
Aces1.46.8
Double faults1.95.7
1st serve %60.3%72.8%
Break %53.8%39.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.80 Under 21.5: 51% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katie Volynets

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Mia Pohankova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/08 Hong Yi Cody Wong
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/08 Katie Boulter
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-13 L
01/08 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Memphis · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
29/07 Iryna Shymanovich
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/07 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-1 16-17 W
12/07 Tatjana Maria
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
11/07 Greet Minnen
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
10/07 Elizabeth Mandlik
WTA Newport · Grass
2-1 15-13 W

Linda Noskova

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Amanda Anisimova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Clara Tauson
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
15/08 Katie Boulter
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Caty McNally
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
11/07 Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
09/07 Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Elise Mertens
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Madison Keys
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
04/07 Sorana Cirstea
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-15 W
02/07 Maria Camila Osorio
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Linda Noskova?

Our model gives 62% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.