Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Donna Vekic
Team pages: Talia Gibson · Donna Vekic
Prediction summary
Winner
Talia Gibson
Donna Vekic
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson
3-7 (W-L)
Donna Vekic
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1463 · Donna Vekic 1521
| Talia Gibson | Donna Vekic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Donna Vekic (rating 1463 vs 1521).
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (7.3/match).
- Note: Donna Vekic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Talia Gibson | Donna Vekic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.8 | 12.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Donna Vekic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Xinyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Donna Vekic?
Our model gives 55% to Donna Vekic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.