Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Daria Snigur · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Snigur
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
20.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Snigur
8-2 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1554 · Diana Shnaider 1571
| Daria Snigur | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Snigur | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 11-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.3
Over 21.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 59% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Snigur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Ella Seidel WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elina Svitolina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 62% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.