Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Lois Boisson
Team pages: Emma Navarro · Lois Boisson
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Navarro
Lois Boisson
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Navarro
2-8 (W-L)
Lois Boisson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Navarro 1498 · Lois Boisson 1475
| Emma Navarro | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emma Navarro makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Lois Boisson makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Emma Navarro | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.5 | 10.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.2
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 42% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Sofia Kenin WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Paula Badosa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Iga Swiatek WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Lois Boisson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Xinyu Wang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Dominika Salkova WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Navarro vs Lois Boisson?
Our model gives 67% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.