Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
Team pages: Shuai Zhang · Leylah Annie Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Shuai Zhang
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shuai Zhang
2-8 (W-L)
Leylah Annie Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shuai Zhang
0–1
Leylah Annie Fernandez
(1 last)
- 06 Apr0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shuai Zhang 1462 · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1487
| Shuai Zhang | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Shuai Zhang 0–1 Leylah Annie Fernandez (1).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Shuai Zhang | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.4 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.5
Over 22.5: 40% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 60% · 1.80
H2H · Shuai Zhang 0 – 1 Leylah Annie Fernandez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shuai Zhang 0–1 Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/21 WTA Charleston | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shuai Zhang vs Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Our model gives 62% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.