Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Ann Li vs Antonia Ruzic
Team pages: Ann Li · Antonia Ruzic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Antonia Ruzic
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
4-6 (W-L)
Antonia Ruzic
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ann Li
1–0
Antonia Ruzic
(1 last)
- 30 Oct2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1490 · Antonia Ruzic 1446
| Ann Li | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ann Li (rating 1490 vs 1446).
- Head-to-head: Ann Li 1–0 Antonia Ruzic (1).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.5 | 10-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Ann Li 1 – 0 Antonia Ruzic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 1–0 Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/24 WTA Merida | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Antonia Ruzic?
Our model gives 63% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.