Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko
Team pages: Kimberly Birrell · Petra Marcinko
Prediction summary
Winner
Kimberly Birrell
Petra Marcinko
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimberly Birrell
4-6 (W-L)
Petra Marcinko
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kimberly Birrell
1–1
Petra Marcinko
(2 last)
- 24 Jun0-2 5-12L
- 24 Feb2-1 12-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimberly Birrell 1493 · Petra Marcinko 1500
| Kimberly Birrell | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Petra Marcinko makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Kimberly Birrell | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11 | 12.9-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Kimberly Birrell 1 – 1 Petra Marcinko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimberly Birrell 1–1 Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 WTA Eastbourne | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02/26 WTA Austin | 2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Indianna Spink WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Simona Waltert WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Clara Burel WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko?
Our model gives 52% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.