Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Barbora Krejcikova

Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Barbora Krejcikova

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Kamilla Rakhimova Barbora Krejcikova
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLWW
Barbora Krejcikova 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLL
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova 0–1 Barbora Krejcikova (1 last)
  • 03 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1477 · Barbora Krejcikova 1553
Kamilla RakhimovaBarbora Krejcikova
Our model39%61%
Market24%76%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1477 vs 1553).
  • Barbora Krejcikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 0–1 Barbora Krejcikova (1).
  • Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
  • Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Kamilla RakhimovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.41.5-0.7
Games (G-P)12.6-12.312.1-9.2
Aces2.13.3
Double faults5.64.5
1st serve %61.9%69.1%
Break %56.1%56.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.4
Over 20.5: 66% · 1.90 Under 20.5: 34% · 1.80

H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 01 Barbora Krejcikova (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 01 Barbora Krejcikova

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/09/21
US Open Women
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kamilla Rakhimova

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Monterrey · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
22/08 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
15/08 Maria Sakkari
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
13/08 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Jessica Pegula
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Venus Williams
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/07 Heather Watson
WTA Washington · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
02/07 Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-13 L
30/06 Anhelina Kalinina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
20/06 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 13-15 L

Barbora Krejcikova

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Sara Bejlek
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
06/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
25/07 Lilli Tagger
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
24/07 Dominika Salkova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Lucie Havlickova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Carole Monnet
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Barbora Krejcikova?

Our model gives 69% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.