Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Team pages: Aoi Ito · Oksana Selekhmeteva
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
4-6 (W-L)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aoi Ito
1–0
Oksana Selekhmeteva
(1 last)
- 01 Aug2-1 18-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1478 · Oksana Selekhmeteva 1516
| Aoi Ito | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aoi Ito 1–0 Oksana Selekhmeteva (1).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Oksana Selekhmeteva makes many double faults (13.6/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.2 | 11.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 13.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 67% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.83
H2H · Aoi Ito 1 – 0 Oksana Selekhmeteva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoi Ito 1–0 Oksana Selekhmeteva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 WTA Toronto | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Astra Sharma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Oksana Selekhmeteva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Capucine Jauffret WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Sinja Kraus Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Our model gives 56% to Oksana Selekhmeteva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.