Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 20:00
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Vendula Valdmannova
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Vendula Valdmannova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Vendula Valdmannova
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
5-5 (W-L)
Vendula Valdmannova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1529 · Vendula Valdmannova 1586
| Elvina Kalieva | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vendula Valdmannova (rating 1529 vs 1586).
- Vendula Valdmannova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Vendula Valdmannova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.3 | 13.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 47% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Mladenovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kayla Cross W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Vendula Valdmannova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Lourdes Carle US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Vendula Valdmannova?
Our model gives 56% to Vendula Valdmannova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.