Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 20:00
Prediction: Darja Semenistaja vs Storm Hunter
Team pages: Darja Semenistaja · Storm Hunter
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Semenistaja
Storm Hunter
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Semenistaja
4-6 (W-L)
Storm Hunter
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Darja Semenistaja
1–0
Storm Hunter
(1 last)
- 11 Feb2-1 18-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Semenistaja 1454 · Storm Hunter 1530
| Darja Semenistaja | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Storm Hunter (rating 1454 vs 1530).
- Storm Hunter dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 55.7% break avg.
- Storm Hunter is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Darja Semenistaja 1–0 Storm Hunter (1).
Statistics
| Darja Semenistaja | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.9 | 13.4-12 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 69% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.1
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 35% · 1.90
H2H · Darja Semenistaja 1 – 0 Storm Hunter (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darja Semenistaja 1–0 Storm Hunter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/24 WTA Mumbai | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Alexandra Shubladze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Hayu Kinoshita US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Storm Hunter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Yeon Woo Ku US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Maddison Inglis US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sofia Johnson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sofia Costoulas Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 20/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Tahlia Kokkinis French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Semenistaja vs Storm Hunter?
Our model gives 62% to Storm Hunter, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.