Tennis · US Open Women · 28/08, 16:00
Prediction: Susan Bandecchi vs Arantxa Rus
Team pages: Susan Bandecchi · Arantxa Rus
Prediction summary
Winner
Susan Bandecchi
Arantxa Rus
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Susan Bandecchi
9-1 (W-L)
Arantxa Rus
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Susan Bandecchi
0–1
Arantxa Rus
(1 last)
- 27 Oct1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Susan Bandecchi 1571 · Arantxa Rus 1544
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Susan Bandecchi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Susan Bandecchi 0–1 Arantxa Rus (1).
Statistics
| Susan Bandecchi | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.5 | 11.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.8
Over 20.5: 56% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 44% · 1.90
H2H · Susan Bandecchi 0 – 1 Arantxa Rus (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Susan Bandecchi 0–1 Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/21 ITF W80 Les Franqueses | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Susan Bandecchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alina Charaeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Mimi Xu W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Brooke Black W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Veronika Podrez WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Susan Bandecchi vs Arantxa Rus?
Our model gives 58% to Susan Bandecchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.