Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Mackenzie McDonald
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Mackenzie McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Mackenzie McDonald
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
5-5 (W-L)
Mackenzie McDonald
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1487 · Mackenzie McDonald 1485
| Dalibor Svrcina | Mackenzie McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Mackenzie McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.4 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mackenzie McDonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Thiago Seyboth Wild US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Napolitano US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Edas Butvilas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 25/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Mackenzie McDonald?
Our model gives 52% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.