Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 18:30
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Nao Hibino
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Nao Hibino
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Nao Hibino
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Havlickova
0–1
Nao Hibino
(1 last)
- 07 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1535 · Nao Hibino 1525
| Lucie Havlickova | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Nao Hibino (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.3 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 51% · 1.90
H2H · Lucie Havlickova 0 – 1 Nao Hibino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Nao Hibino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W50 Corroios-Seixal | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Anna Siskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Janae Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Teah Chavez WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 51% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.