Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Gabriela Knutson vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Team pages: Gabriela Knutson · Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriela Knutson
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriela Knutson
7-3 (W-L)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriela Knutson 1567 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1577
| Gabriela Knutson | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Gabriela Knutson | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.5 | 11.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.7
Over 20.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Varvara Lepchenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shuai Zhang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Despina Papamichail US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Katarzyna Kawa US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Xiaodi You W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriela Knutson vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?
Our model gives 61% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.