Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Carson Branstine vs Robin Montgomery
Team pages: Carson Branstine · Robin Montgomery
Prediction summary
Winner
Carson Branstine
Robin Montgomery
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Branstine
6-4 (W-L)
Robin Montgomery
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carson Branstine
1–0
Robin Montgomery
(1 last)
- 09 Mar2-1 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carson Branstine 1534 · Robin Montgomery 1568
| Carson Branstine | Robin Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Robin Montgomery dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 55.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Carson Branstine 1–0 Robin Montgomery (1).
Statistics
| Carson Branstine | Robin Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 12.5-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 66.5% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.6
Over 21.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 54% · 1.83
H2H · Carson Branstine 1 – 0 Robin Montgomery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carson Branstine 1–0 Robin Montgomery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/19 ITF W15 Carson | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carson Branstine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Clervie Ngounoue US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/01 | Astra Sharma Australian Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/01 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Canberra · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Julia Garcia Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rende · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Bernarda Pera WTA Rende · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Julia Grabher WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Robin Montgomery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jeline Vandromme US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Kayla Cross US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Elvina Kalieva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Caroline Dolehide Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carson Branstine vs Robin Montgomery?
Our model gives 65% to Robin Montgomery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.