Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Pridankina
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Elena Pridankina
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Elena Pridankina
Estimated games
20.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Elena Pridankina
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1512 · Elena Pridankina 1562
| Qinwen Zheng | Elena Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Pridankina (rating 1512 vs 1562).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Elena Pridankina makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Elena Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.6 | 10.3-7.3 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 47% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 53% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Elena Pridankina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Rebecca Marino US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Aliona Falei US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Victoria Brand WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eva Maria Ionescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Pridankina?
Our model gives 61% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.