Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Anouk Koevermans
Team pages: Mariam Bolkvadze · Anouk Koevermans
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariam Bolkvadze
Anouk Koevermans
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mariam Bolkvadze
7-3 (W-L)
Anouk Koevermans
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariam Bolkvadze 1531 · Anouk Koevermans 1508
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Anouk Koevermans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Anouk Koevermans dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 49.7% break avg.
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (8.9/match).
- Note: Anouk Koevermans makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Anouk Koevermans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 11.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 8.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 40% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Erika Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Hayu Kinoshita Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Julia Grabher Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Anouk Koevermans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Linda Klimovicova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Carole Monnet US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniella Britton W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Polina Kudermetova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Anna Siskova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Nina Vargova W75 Trnava |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariam Bolkvadze vs Anouk Koevermans?
Our model gives 53% to Anouk Koevermans, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.