Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Vendula Valdmannova · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Vendula Valdmannova
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vendula Valdmannova
8-2 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vendula Valdmannova 1598 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1477
| Vendula Valdmannova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vendula Valdmannova (rating 1598 vs 1477).
- Vendula Valdmannova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Vendula Valdmannova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Aliaksandra Sasnovich makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Vendula Valdmannova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 13-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 51% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vendula Valdmannova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maria Lourdes Carle US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Aliesia Reva W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 58% to Vendula Valdmannova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.