Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia Costoulas
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
6-4 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elvina Kalieva
1–1
Sofia Costoulas
(2 last)
- 08 Mar2-1 18-11W
- 19 May0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1522 · Sofia Costoulas 1517
| Elvina Kalieva | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.1 | 11.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 58% · 1.83
H2H · Elvina Kalieva 1 – 1 Sofia Costoulas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elvina Kalieva 1–1 Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/24 ITF W35 Santo Domingo | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/05/23 ITF W25 Feld Am See | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Kristina Mladenovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kayla Cross W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jennifer Ruggeri US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 50% to Elvina Kalieva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.