Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Darja Semenistaja vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Darja Semenistaja · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Semenistaja
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Semenistaja
4-6 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Semenistaja 1459 · Alexandra Shubladze 1590
| Darja Semenistaja | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1459 vs 1590).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darja Semenistaja | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-13.6 | 12.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Hayu Kinoshita US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Siskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | I Wen Wan W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Semenistaja vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 66% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.