Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson
Team pages: Liam Draxl · Andrew Johnson
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Draxl
Andrew Johnson
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl
7-3 (W-L)
Andrew Johnson
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1531 · Andrew Johnson 1558
| Liam Draxl | Andrew Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Liam Draxl | Andrew Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 11.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Nicolas Mejia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Andrew Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Taro Daniel US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Lucca Liu M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Roberto Cid Subervi Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson?
Our model gives 60% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.