Tennis · US Open · 26/08, 17:00

Prediction: Federico Cina vs Hugo Dellien

Team pages: Federico Cina · Hugo Dellien

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Federico Cina Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLW
Hugo Dellien 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1517 · Hugo Dellien 1549
Federico CinaHugo Dellien
Our model45%55%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Federico Cina dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 44.8% break avg.
  • Note: Federico Cina makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Federico CinaHugo Dellien
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)13.2-11.511.7-10.1
Aces6.13.1
Double faults4.41.8
1st serve %73.4%67.5%
Break %44.8%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.8
Over 20.5: 69% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 31% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Cina

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
05/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Elias Ymer
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
20/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
19/07 Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/07 Daniel Michalski
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
14/07 Quentin Halys
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
12/07 Calvin Hemery
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Patrick Zahraj
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 15-16 L

Hugo Dellien

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Moez Echargui
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/08 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
01/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
28/07 Pedro Martinez
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Laslo Djere
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/07 Michele Ribecai
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Matyas Fuele
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
16/07 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-1 17-8 W
15/07 Ioannis Xilas
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/07 Matej Dodig
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 17-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Hugo Dellien?

Our model gives 63% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.