Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith
Team pages: Jerome Kym · Colton Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Colton Smith
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
6-4 (W-L)
Colton Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1567 · Colton Smith 1470
| Jerome Kym | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1567 vs 1470).
- Jerome Kym is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Colton Smith makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.5 | 13.8-14.9 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Dan Added US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Jay Clarke Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Colton Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Andrea Pellegrino US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Felix Gill Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith?
Our model gives 61% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.