Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 21:30
Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Julia Avdeeva
Team pages: Yue Yuan · Julia Avdeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yue Yuan
Julia Avdeeva
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan
9-1 (W-L)
Julia Avdeeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1483 · Julia Avdeeva 1516
| Yue Yuan | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julia Avdeeva makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Yue Yuan | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13 | 10.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 72% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.9
Over 22.5: 44% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 56% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hanyu Guo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Julia Avdeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Katherine Sebov US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Julia Avdeeva?
Our model gives 56% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.