Tennis · US Open · 26/08, 17:00

Prediction: David Jorda Sanchis vs Dusan Lajovic

Team pages: David Jorda Sanchis · Dusan Lajovic

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
David Jorda Sanchis Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
David Jorda Sanchis 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLLW
Dusan Lajovic 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · David Jorda Sanchis 1461 · Dusan Lajovic 1515
David Jorda SanchisDusan Lajovic
Our model42%58%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Lajovic (rating 1461 vs 1515).

Statistics

David Jorda SanchisDusan Lajovic
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.4-1.5
Games (G-P)10.1-12.713.7-14.7
Aces4.65.8
Double faults3.72.5
1st serve %70.2%72.9%
Break %37.7%40.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.5
Over 21.5: 67% · 1.72 Under 21.5: 33% · 2.00

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

David Jorda Sanchis

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Henri Squire
US Open · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
18/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/08 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
18/07 Pedro Martinez
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Max Houkes
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 10-17 L
30/06 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
14/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
13/06 Tristan Boyer
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-1 16-15 W

Dusan Lajovic

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Taro Daniel
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
17/08 Alexander Rozin
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
11/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
08/08 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
07/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
05/08 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
04/08 James McCabe
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
30/06 Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 10-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in David Jorda Sanchis vs Dusan Lajovic?

Our model gives 66% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.