Tennis · US Open Women · 26/08, 21:30
Prediction: Priscilla Hon vs Joanna Garland
Team pages: Priscilla Hon · Joanna Garland
Prediction summary
Winner
Priscilla Hon
Joanna Garland
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Priscilla Hon
3-7 (W-L)
Joanna Garland
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Priscilla Hon
3–1
Joanna Garland
(4 last)
- 24 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 17 Mar2-0 12-6W
- 28 Jul2-1 16-15W
- 27 May2-0 13-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Priscilla Hon 1430 · Joanna Garland 1482
| Priscilla Hon | Joanna Garland | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Garland (rating 1430 vs 1482).
- Priscilla Hon dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Priscilla Hon 3–1 Joanna Garland (4).
- Note: Joanna Garland makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Priscilla Hon | Joanna Garland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.2 | 11-13 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Priscilla Hon 3 – 1 Joanna Garland (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Priscilla Hon 3–1 Joanna Garland
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/23 ITF W60 Brisbane | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/03/23 ITF W60 Canberra | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07/22 ITF W25 Nottingham | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/05/22 ITF W25 Netanya | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Priscilla Hon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alice Tubello US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Ayana Akli W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Ellie Schoppe WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jessika Ponchet French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Joanna Garland
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Leyre Romero Gormaz US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Celine Naef Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Britt Du Pree WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Kathinka Von Deichmann French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Tena Lukas W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Priscilla Hon vs Joanna Garland?
Our model gives 55% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.