Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kristina Penickova vs Harriet Dart
Team pages: Harriet Dart
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Penickova
Harriet Dart
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Penickova
3-7 (W-L)
Harriet Dart
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Penickova 1485 · Harriet Dart 1514
| Kristina Penickova | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Penickova | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.6 | 10.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 47% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Antonia Rivera W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Florence |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Liv Hovde W35 Florence |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Karman Kaur Thandi WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Harriet Dart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jordyn Hazelitt US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Penickova vs Harriet Dart?
Our model gives 67% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.