Tennis · US Open Women · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Suzan Lamens
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Suzan Lamens
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Suzan Lamens
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
4-6 (W-L)
Suzan Lamens
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arantxa Rus
2–0
Suzan Lamens
(2 last)
- 04 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 05 Jul2-1 16-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1524 · Suzan Lamens 1530
| Arantxa Rus | Suzan Lamens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Suzan Lamens dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 48.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Arantxa Rus 2–0 Suzan Lamens (2).
- Note: Suzan Lamens makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Suzan Lamens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.9 | 13.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 55% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 45% · 1.80
H2H · Arantxa Rus 2 – 0 Suzan Lamens (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arantxa Rus 2–0 Suzan Lamens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/24 WTA Hamburg | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07/19 ITF W25 Den Haag | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Suzan Lamens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Emerson Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Amelia Rajecki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Irina-Camelia Begu French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Lina Gjorcheska French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Suzan Lamens?
Our model gives 58% to Suzan Lamens, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.