Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1488 · Christopher O'Connell 1543
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher O'Connell (rating 1488 vs 1543).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.5 | 11.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 28.9% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.1
Over 23.5: 42% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 58% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Christopher O'Connell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 03/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 56% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.